UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Welterweight
VS
72%
Santos
28%
Millender
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:35
Elizeu
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
25 – 10
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
CM
Curtis Millender
"Curtious"
17 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

Santos is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Millender connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos
Millender
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Millender
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
18.0
49.3
Performance Avg
45.0
39
Quality of Victory
35
45
Momentum Score
70
Santos
Millender
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Santos
Millender
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Millender
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Santos
Millender
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Santos
Millender
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Millender
Striking4.9 / 4.5Volume5.7 / 6.5Grappling2.0 / 1.6Wrestling1.4 / 1.1Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.1 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Santos
Strike Zones
Millender
Santos
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Millender
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (67% of attacks) — Millender absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Millender
0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W5.2W5.0W4.8L4.5W6.5L6.3W4.5W6.4L5.0W3.9L3.4L2015-052018-052020-072025-032025-08
WinLossTrend

Millender · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.1W4.5W2.0L6.6L2018-022018-072018-122019-032019-04
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Millender · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

News & Media

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Curtis Millender
← Back to fights