UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
61%
Horth
39%
Bleda
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:05
Jamey-Lyn
Jamey-Lyn Horth
9 – 3
5'7"66" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Tereza
Tereza Bleda
7 – 2
Well-Rounded24 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Horth

Horth holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Bleda has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Horth throws more volume but Bleda connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bleda has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Horth
Bleda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+71"
36
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horth
Bleda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.4
30.6
43.1
Performance Avg
28.3
34
Quality of Victory
25
60
Momentum Score
40
Horth
Bleda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
3
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
7Clinch1
0Ground0
Horth
Bleda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Horth
Bleda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
Horth
Bleda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
40
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Horth
Bleda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Horth
Bleda
Striking3.6 / 0.7Volume7.1 / 8.7Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Horth
Strike Zones
Bleda
Horth
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Bleda
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Horth targets the head (75% of attacks) — Bleda absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bleda targets the body (100% of attacks) — Horth absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Horth
RND
Bleda
0/0R00/0

Horth · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.8L4.9W6.3L4.7W5.0W6.1L2023-042024-112025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Bleda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.5L4.9W2.2L2022-112023-062025-12
WinLossTrend

Horth · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Tereza BledaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

Bleda · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · KO · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11

News & Media

Jamey-Lyn Horth · Tereza Bleda
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