UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
53%
Nunes
47%
Chandler
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Josiane
Josiane Nunes
"Josi"
10 – 4
5'2"67" reachSouthpaw32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Chelsea
Chelsea Chandler
6 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'8"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nunes

This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 53% vs Chandler at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Nunes throws more volume but Chandler connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Nunes
Chandler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
32+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Nunes
Chandler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.2
45.0
42.0
Performance Avg
41.5
37
Quality of Victory
43
81
Momentum Score
43
Nunes
Chandler
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.9
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
16
4
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nunes
Chandler
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Chandler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
6/10 fights
Nunes
Chandler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nunes
Chandler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nunes
Chandler
Striking4.3 / 5.8Volume6.3 / 4.8Grappling1.6 / 1.2Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Nunes
Strike Zones
Chandler
Nunes
Attacking
21HEAD4BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD6BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Chandler
Attacking
16HEAD6BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD4BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (84% of attacks) — Chandler absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Chandler targets the head (70% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nunes
RND
Chandler
0/0R00/0

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.5W4.5W6.0L6.4L2.5L2021-082022-022023-012024-032024-082025-03
WinLossTrend

Chandler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.3W6.0L5.3W5.6L2.9L2022-102023-072024-032024-082025-04
WinLossTrend

Nunes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Zarah FairnRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Ramona PascualRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02

Chandler · Last 5

Upcoming
Priscila Cachoeira
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Joselyne EdwardsRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

News & Media

Josiane Nunes · Chelsea Chandler
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