METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
49%
Nunes
51%
Chandler
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chelsea ChandlerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josiane Nunes · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chandler
→
Actual result
Chandler wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 49% vs Chandler at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NunesChandler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nunes
Chandler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
32+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Nunes
Chandler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.2
53.2
42.0
Performance Avg
47.8
37
Quality of Victory
46
81
Momentum Score
59
Nunes
Chandler
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
6.2
6.3
Style: Volume
3.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
16
4
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nunes
Chandler
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Chandler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
7/10 fights
Nunes
Chandler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Nunes
Chandler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Chandler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
NunesChandler
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedChandler
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (84% of attacks) — Chandler absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Chandler targets the head (70% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Chandler
0/0R00/0
Nunes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Priscila CachoeiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Zarah FairnDecision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Ramona PascualDecision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
Chandler · Last 5
Upcoming
Melissa CrodenUFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
W · Sub · R1
Priscila CachoeiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Joselyne EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03