METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Las Vegas, USA
28 Nov 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
51%
Mazany
49%
Ostovich
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:10
★ Official Result
Gina MazanywinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:10
def. Rachael Ostovich · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mazany
→
Actual result
Mazany wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mazany at 51% vs Ostovich at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ostovich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Mazany's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ostovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MazanyOstovich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mazany
Ostovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
68"+
Reach
62"
38
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mazany
Ostovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
16.5
32.5
Performance Avg
42.4
38
Quality of Victory
54
30
Momentum Score
36
Mazany
Ostovich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
7.8
4.5
Style: Volume
0.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
8
5
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance7
12Clinch5
14Ground0
Mazany
Ostovich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mazany
Ostovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Mazany
Ostovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Mazany
Ostovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mazany
Ostovich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MazanyOstovich
Strike Zones
Mazany
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedOstovich
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mazany targets the head (85% of attacks) — Ostovich absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Ostovich targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mazany absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mazany
RND
Ostovich
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mazany · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Shanna YoungKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Priscila CachoeiraKO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R3
Rachael OstovichKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · KO · R1
Julia AvilaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Macy ChiassonKO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Ostovich · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Gina MazanyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Sub · R2
Paige VanZantSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Sub · R3
Montana De La RosaSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Karine GevorgyanSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12