UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Las Vegas, USA
28 Nov 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
51%
Mazany
49%
Ostovich
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mazany
This is a genuine toss-up — Mazany at 51% vs Ostovich at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ostovich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Mazany has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mazany's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ostovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mazany
Ostovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
68"+
Reach
62"
37
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mazany
Ostovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
16.5
32.5
Performance Avg
42.4
38
Quality of Victory
54
30
Momentum Score
36
Mazany
Ostovich
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
8
5
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance7
12Clinch5
14Ground0
Mazany
Ostovich
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mazany
Ostovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Mazany
Ostovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Mazany
Ostovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mazany
Ostovich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MazanyOstovich
Strike Zones
Mazany
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedOstovich
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mazany targets the head (85% of attacks) — Ostovich absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Ostovich targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mazany absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mazany
RND
Ostovich
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mazany · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Ostovich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Mazany · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Shanna YoungRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Priscila CachoeiraRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R3
Rachael OstovichRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · KO · R1
Julia AvilaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Macy ChiassonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Ostovich · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Gina MazanyRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Sub · R2
Paige VanZantRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Sub · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Karine GevorgyanRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12