METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Lightweight
VS
40%
Cabral
60%
Madadi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:56
★ Official Result
Reza MadadiwinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:56
def. Yan Cabral · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Madadi
→
Actual result
Madadi wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Madadi holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Cabral has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Madadi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CabralMadadi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cabral
Madadi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
43+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cabral
Madadi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
21.0
38.3
Performance Avg
46.0
37
Quality of Victory
48
30
Momentum Score
78
Cabral
Madadi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
8.3
4.8
Style: Volume
0.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance9
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Cabral
Madadi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cabral
Madadi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Cabral
Madadi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Cabral
Madadi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cabral
Madadi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
CabralMadadi
Strike Zones
Cabral
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMadadi
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cabral targets the head (100% of attacks) — Madadi absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Madadi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cabral absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cabral
RND
Madadi
0/0R00/0
Cabral · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Reza MadadiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Johnny CaseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · Sub · R2
Naoyuki KotaniSubmission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
David MitchellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Madadi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Joe DuffyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · KO · R3
Yan CabralKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Sub · R3
Michael JohnsonSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04