UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
London, United Kingdom
17 Mar 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Craig
57%
Ankalaev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ankalaev
This is a genuine toss-up — Craig at 43% vs Ankalaev at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Craig throws more volume but Ankalaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Craig's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ankalaev has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Craig
Ankalaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"+
Reach
75"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Craig
Ankalaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
66.0
50.4
Performance Avg
59.9
52
Quality of Victory
43
46
Momentum Score
100
Craig
Ankalaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
59%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
17
0
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground19
Craig
Ankalaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Craig
Ankalaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Craig
Ankalaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
Craig
Ankalaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
6
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Craig
Ankalaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
CraigAnkalaev
Strike Zones
Craig
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedAnkalaev
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Craig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (65% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Craig
RND
Ankalaev
0/0R00/0
Craig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Ankalaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasRating 2.3KO/TKO
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Ankalaev · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 4.6Decision
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W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 5.9KO/TKO
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