METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
London, United Kingdom
17 Mar 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Craig
58%
Ankalaev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Paul CraigwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:59
def. Magomed Ankalaev · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ankalaev
→
Actual result
Craig wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Craig at 42% vs Ankalaev at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Craig's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ankalaev has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CraigAnkalaev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Craig
Ankalaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"+
Reach
75"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Craig
Ankalaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
66.7
50.4
Performance Avg
60.6
52
Quality of Victory
43
46
Momentum Score
100
Craig
Ankalaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
8.4
Style: Pressure
6.4
0.9
Style: Volume
5.4
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
17
0
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground19
Craig
Ankalaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Craig
Ankalaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
17/23 fights
Craig
Ankalaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Craig
Ankalaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
54%
3
KO / TKO Wins
7
6
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Craig
Ankalaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
CraigAnkalaev
Strike Zones
Craig
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedAnkalaev
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Craig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (65% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Craig
RND
Ankalaev
0/0R00/0
Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
Upcoming
Rodolfo BellatoUFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Bo NickalDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Caio BorralhoKO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
Ankalaev · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01