UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
Auburn Hills, USA
20 Nov 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Davis
47%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:55
PD
Phil Davis
"Mr. Wonderful"
17 – 4
6'2"79" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
Striker2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Davis

This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 53% vs Boetsch at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Davis
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
16.6
50.2
Performance Avg
46.0
34
Quality of Victory
43
64
Momentum Score
69
Davis
Boetsch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
34%
Strike Accuracy
57%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Davis
Boetsch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/21 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Davis
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Davis
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
58%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Davis
Boetsch
Striking1.5 / 6.8Volume6.8 / 4.3Grappling4.3 / 1.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Davis
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Davis
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Boetsch
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the body (50% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Davis
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.9W5.5L2010-022010-112012-102014-042015-01
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Davis · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

News & Media

Phil Davis · Tim Boetsch
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