METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
San Diego, USA
1 Aug 2010
Lightweight
VS
54%
Kelly
46%
Volkmann
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jacob VolkmannwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Paul Kelly · UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelly
→
Actual result
Volkmann wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kelly at 54% vs Volkmann at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Kelly has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kelly's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkmann has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KellyVolkmann
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kelly
Volkmann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kelly
Volkmann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
16.1
43.8
Performance Avg
41.9
36
Quality of Victory
30
99
Momentum Score
70
Kelly
Volkmann
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
7Ground3
Kelly
Volkmann
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kelly
Volkmann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
62
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
10/26 fights
Kelly
Volkmann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
70
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kelly
Volkmann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
17%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kelly
Volkmann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
KellyVolkmann
Strike Zones
Kelly
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedVolkmann
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kelly targets the head (73% of attacks) — Volkmann absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Volkmann targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kelly absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kelly
RND
Volkmann
0/0R00/0
Kelly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Volkmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Kelly · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8Submission
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
TJ O'BrienRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Jacob VolkmannRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt VeachRating 5.2Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · KO · R2
Dennis SiverRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Volkmann · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
King GreenRating 4.7Submission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Shane RollerRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul SassRating 1.5Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08