UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Welterweight
VS
32%
Taleb
68%
Roberts
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Roberts
Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Taleb has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Roberts throws more volume but Taleb connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Taleb's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roberts has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Taleb
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Taleb
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
31.8
43.9
Performance Avg
45.6
34
Quality of Victory
43
52
Momentum Score
45
Taleb
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Taleb
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Taleb
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Taleb
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Taleb
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
57%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taleb
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
TalebRoberts
Strike Zones
Taleb
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taleb targets the head (60% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Taleb absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taleb
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Taleb · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Taleb · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · KO · R2
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Danny RobertsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Roberts · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jonny ParsonsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R2
Zelim ImadaevRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11