UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Las Vegas, USA
15 Aug 2020
Bantamweight
VS
56%
O'Malley
44%
Vera
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: O'Malley
This is a genuine toss-up — O'Malley at 56% vs Vera at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Malley's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Malley
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
31+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Switch
O'Malley
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
51.4
59.5
Performance Avg
50.4
47
Quality of Victory
46
95
Momentum Score
39
O'Malley
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.7
62%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
4
Body
4
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
10Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground7
O'Malley
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.1
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
O'Malley
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
78
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
O'Malley
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
O'Malley
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
73%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Malley
Vera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
O'MalleyVera
Strike Zones
O'Malley
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedVera
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Malley targets the body (40% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the legs (50% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Malley
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
O'Malley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Vera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
O'Malley · Last 5
Upcoming
Aiemann ZahabiUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Vera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

