The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2010
Featherweight
VS
11%
Paixao
89%
Garza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:51
FP
Fredson Paixao
10 – 5
5'6"66" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 2
PG
Pablo Garza
"The Scarecrow"
12 – 4
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garza

Garza is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.

Striking split: Garza throws more volume but Paixao connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Paixao
Garza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'1"
66"
Reach
+73"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Paixao
Garza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.2
18.2
0.0
Performance Avg
47.8
0
Quality of Victory
46
0
Momentum Score
53
Paixao
Garza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
1.3
100%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Paixao
Garza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Paixao
Garza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Paixao
Garza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
53
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Paixao
Garza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Paixao
Garza
Striking0.0 / 4.3Volume0.0 / 3.7Grappling0.0 / 3.5Wrestling0.0 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure0.0 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Paixao
Strike Zones
Garza
Paixao
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Garza
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Paixao targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Garza absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Garza targets the head (67% of attacks) — Paixao absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Paixao
RND
Garza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Garza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W4.1L5.5L4.5W1.5L2010-122011-042011-112012-052012-112013-04
WinLossTrend

Paixao · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Pablo GarzaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12

Garza · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Diego BrandaoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
W · Dec · R3
Mark HominickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R2
Dustin PoirierRating 4.1
Submission
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5
Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

News & Media

Fredson Paixao · Pablo Garza
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