METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
Nashville, USA
23 Mar 2019
Featherweight
VS
96%
Mitchell
4%
Moffett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Bryce MitchellwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bobby Moffett · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mitchell
→
Actual result
Mitchell wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Mitchell is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mitchell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Risk flags
Mitchell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MitchellMoffett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mitchell
Moffett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+73"
31+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mitchell
Moffett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.3
2.7
50.2
Performance Avg
0.0
32
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Mitchell
Moffett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.1
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Mitchell
Moffett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mitchell
Moffett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Mitchell
Moffett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Mitchell
Moffett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mitchell
Moffett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MitchellMoffett
Strike Zones
Mitchell
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMoffett
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mitchell targets the body (67% of attacks) — Moffett absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Moffett targets the head (75% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mitchell
RND
Moffett
0/0R00/0
Mitchell · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
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W · KO · R3
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L · KO · R1
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Moffett · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Enrique BarzolaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Bryce MitchellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Upcoming
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