METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Lightweight
VS
95%
Roberts
5%
Gifford
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Roosevelt RobertswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thomas Gifford · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
→
Actual result
Roberts wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Roberts is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Risk flags
Roberts's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RobertsGifford
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Roberts
Gifford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+75"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Gifford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.9
2.1
40.8
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Roberts
Gifford
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.9
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance4
0Clinch1
8Ground2
Roberts
Gifford
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberts
Gifford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Roberts
Gifford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Roberts
Gifford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberts
Gifford
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RobertsGifford
Strike Zones
Roberts
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGifford
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gifford absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Gifford targets the head (57% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberts
RND
Gifford
0/0R00/0
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Mateusz RebeckiSubmission
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · KO · R3
Ignacio BahamondesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
Upcoming
Kevin CroomUFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
Gifford · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Mike DavisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04