UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Lightweight
VS
95%
Roberts
5%
Gifford
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Roberts
Roberts is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Roberts has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Gifford has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Roberts's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roberts
Gifford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+75"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Gifford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.9
2.1
40.8
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Roberts
Gifford
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance4
0Clinch1
8Ground2
Roberts
Gifford
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Roberts
Gifford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Roberts
Gifford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Roberts
Gifford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberts
Gifford
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RobertsGifford
Strike Zones
Roberts
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGifford
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gifford absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Gifford targets the head (57% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberts
RND
Gifford
0/0R00/0
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Gifford · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
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Upcoming
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Gifford · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Mike DavisRating 5.1KO/TKO
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UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04