METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
1 Aug 2015
Welterweight
VS
73%
Alves
27%
Taleb
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:11
★ Official Result
Warlley AlveswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:11
def. Nordine Taleb · UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Alves wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Alves is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alves has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Taleb has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesTaleb
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Taleb
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
35+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Taleb
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
14.8
49.3
Performance Avg
43.9
49
Quality of Victory
34
30
Momentum Score
52
Alves
Taleb
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
3.8
3.0
Style: Volume
6.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
2
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch1
2Ground0
Alves
Taleb
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Taleb
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Alves
Taleb
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Alves
Taleb
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Taleb
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
AlvesTaleb
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTaleb
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (43% of attacks) — Taleb absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Taleb targets the body (50% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Taleb
0/0R00/0
Alves · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Nicolas DalbyDecision
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L · KO · R2
Jeremiah WellsKO/TKO
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Taleb · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Kyle PrepolecDecision
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L · KO · R2
Sean StricklandKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaSubmission
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W · KO · R1
Danny RobertsKO/TKO
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