UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Sydney, Australia
26 Feb 2011
Lightweight
VS
49%
Pearson
51%
Fisher
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fisher
This is a genuine toss-up — Pearson at 49% vs Fisher at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pearson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fisher has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pearson
Fisher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
41+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pearson
Fisher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
17.7
44.3
Performance Avg
43.8
42
Quality of Victory
38
89
Momentum Score
89
Pearson
Fisher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
4
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance4
4Clinch2
1Ground0
Pearson
Fisher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pearson
Fisher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
17/33 fights
Pearson
Fisher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
89
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pearson
Fisher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
44%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearson
Fisher
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
PearsonFisher
Strike Zones
Pearson
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedFisher
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Fisher absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Fisher targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearson
RND
Fisher
0/0R00/0
Pearson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Fisher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pearson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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Fisher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
Thiago TavaresRating 2.8KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Curt WarburtonRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
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