METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter
Hollywood, USA
10 Oct 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
93%
Hamill
7%
Petruzelli
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Matt HamillwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Seth Petruzelli · Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hamill
→
Actual result
Hamill wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hamill is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hamill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Hamill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hamill's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petruzelli has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HamillPetruzelli
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hamill
Petruzelli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
49
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hamill
Petruzelli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
1.5
51.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Hamill
Petruzelli
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hamill
Petruzelli
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hamill
Petruzelli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Hamill
Petruzelli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Hamill
Petruzelli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hamill
Petruzelli
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HamillPetruzelli
Strike Zones
Hamill
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedPetruzelli
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hamill targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petruzelli absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Petruzelli targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hamill
RND
Petruzelli
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hamill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Petruzelli · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Hamill · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger HollettRating 4.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander GustafssonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Petruzelli · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Karlos VemolaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Sub · R2
Ricardo RomeroRating 2.8Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Sub · R2
Wilson GouveiaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10