UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Hollywood, USA
25 Jan 2007
Middleweight
VS
45%
Marquardt
55%
Lister
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
DL
Dean Lister
"The Boogeyman"
13 – 7
Well-Rounded50 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lister

This is a genuine toss-up — Marquardt at 45% vs Lister at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Marquardt
Lister
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
47+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marquardt
Lister
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
20.2
48.6
Performance Avg
50.4
46
Quality of Victory
40
59
Momentum Score
75
Marquardt
Lister
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
31%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
4
0
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance7
2Clinch0
10Ground0
Marquardt
Lister
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
Lister
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Marquardt
Lister
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
75
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Marquardt
Lister
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquardt
Lister
Striking5.7 / 1.3Volume3.5 / 5.3Grappling2.6 / 5.2Wrestling1.8 / 3.6Submission2.3 / 5.0Pressure6.4 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Marquardt
Strike Zones
Lister
Marquardt
Attacking
18HEAD0BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY3LEGS7 absorbed
Lister
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY3LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD0BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the head (95% of attacks) — Lister absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Lister targets the head (57% of attacks) — Marquardt absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquardt
RND
Lister
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Marquardt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

Lister · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L2006-052006-082007-012007-122008-062008-12
WinLossTrend

Marquardt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Lister · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy HornRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RadevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Dec · R3
Yuki SasakiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08

News & Media

Nate Marquardt · Dean Lister
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