UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Bantamweight
VS
25%
Moraes
75%
Sandhagen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:03
MM
Marlon Moraes
"Magic"
23 – 10
5'6"67" reachOrthodox38 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
18 – 6
Well-Rounded34 yrsSwitch70" reach5'11"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sandhagen

Sandhagen is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sandhagen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moraes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moraes
Sandhagen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+70"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Moraes
Sandhagen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
64.2
47.3
Performance Avg
53.8
49
Quality of Victory
44
20
Momentum Score
100
Moraes
Sandhagen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
5
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Moraes
Sandhagen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moraes
Sandhagen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/33 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Moraes
Sandhagen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Moraes
Sandhagen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moraes
Sandhagen
Striking4.9 / 5.9Volume4.1 / 4.3Grappling2.6 / 1.6Wrestling1.8 / 1.1Submission2.0 / 0.9Pressure5.6 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Moraes
Strike Zones
Sandhagen
Moraes
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Sandhagen
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the body (50% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (63% of attacks) — Moraes absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moraes
RND
Sandhagen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Moraes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L4.5W6.0W5.0W5.0W4.2L5.0W3.6L2.7L4.0L2.8L2017-062018-062019-122021-092022-03
WinLossTrend

Sandhagen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.2W6.1W4.5W4.5W2.5L5.1W5.0W5.6L7.0L5.7W5.3W5.7W6.8L6.2W6.8L2018-012019-082021-072023-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Moraes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Song YadongRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Merab DvalishviliRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R1
Rob FontRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 5
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12

Sandhagen · Last 5

Upcoming
Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

News & Media

Marlon Moraes · Cory Sandhagen
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