UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
San Jose, USA
11 Jul 2012
Bantamweight
VS
72%
Dillashaw
28%
Lee
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dillashaw
Dillashaw is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Striking split: Dillashaw throws more volume but Lee connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dillashaw
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"+
Reach
66"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
13.9
62.3
Performance Avg
35.8
56
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
51
Dillashaw
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dillashaw
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Dillashaw
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Dillashaw
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
DillashawLee
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedLee
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the body (50% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Dillashaw · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Raphael AssuncaoRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Motonobu TezukaRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02