METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Lightweight
VS
41%
Guida
59%
Hooper
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:41
★ Official Result
Chase HooperwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:41
def. Clay Guida · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hooper
→
Actual result
Hooper wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Guida at 41% vs Hooper at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hooper has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hooper has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuidaHooper
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guida
Hooper
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+74"
44
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guida
Hooper
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
56.3
40.7
Performance Avg
53.5
35
Quality of Victory
46
78
Momentum Score
72
Guida
Hooper
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
7.4
5.9
Style: Volume
3.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
3Clinch1
0Ground1
Guida
Hooper
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
2.8
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
5
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guida
Hooper
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
8
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
14/21 fights
Guida
Hooper
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Guida
Hooper
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
5
11
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guida
Hooper
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
GuidaHooper
Strike Zones
Guida
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHooper
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the head (60% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Hooper targets the head (71% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guida
RND
Hooper
0/0R00/0
Guida · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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Rafa GarciaDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesSubmission
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Hooper · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mitch RamirezSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.KO/TKO
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Alexander HernandezKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12