UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jun 2023
Bantamweight
VS
56%
Blackshear
44%
Lacerda
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blackshear
This is a genuine toss-up — Blackshear at 56% vs Lacerda at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Blackshear has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Blackshear
Lacerda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
71"
31+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Blackshear
Lacerda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
44.0
50.7
Performance Avg
39.7
48
Quality of Victory
50
56
Momentum Score
22
Blackshear
Lacerda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
5
7
Body
4
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance11
0Clinch0
17Ground0
Blackshear
Lacerda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blackshear
Lacerda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Blackshear
Lacerda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
22
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Blackshear
Lacerda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blackshear
Lacerda
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
BlackshearLacerda
Strike Zones
Blackshear
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedLacerda
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blackshear targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lacerda absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Lacerda targets the head (45% of attacks) — Blackshear absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blackshear
RND
Lacerda
0/0R00/0
Blackshear · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Lacerda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Blackshear · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Cody StamannRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
Lacerda · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Hecher SosaRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Saimon OliveiraRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 5.5Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01

