UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Brasilia, Brazil
13 Sept 2014
Lightweight
VS
68%
Santos
32%
Escudero
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Escudero has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Escudero has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Escudero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
71"
46
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Escudero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
16.8
57.5
Performance Avg
48.3
49
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
40
Santos
Escudero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
3
Body
1
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance5
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Santos
Escudero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Escudero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
66
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
12/40 fights
Santos
Escudero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Santos
Escudero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Escudero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
SantosEscudero
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedEscudero
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (47% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Escudero targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Escudero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Escudero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · KO · R3
Grant DawsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman BogatovRating 4.5Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Stevie RayRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
Escudero · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09