UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
Vancouver, Canada
12 Jun 2010
Lightweight
VS
50%
Griffin
50%
Dunham
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Griffin
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 50% vs Dunham at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Griffin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Griffin
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+70"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Griffin
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
16.2
42.3
Performance Avg
40.1
32
Quality of Victory
30
75
Momentum Score
100
Griffin
Dunham
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
0
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance7
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Griffin
Dunham
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Griffin
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Griffin
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
18%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Dunham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
GriffinDunham
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedDunham
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (50% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (50% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Griffin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiRating 1.5KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09