METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
New Orleans, USA
19 Jul 2025
Middleweight
VS
58%
Gautier
42%
Valentin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:10
Ateba
Ateba Gautier
"The Storm"
111
6'4"81" reachSwitch24 yrs5-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 78
Robert
Robert Valentin
"Robzilla"
126
Submission Hunter2-fight win streak31 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Ateba GautierwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:10
def. Robert Valentin · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gautier
Actual result
Gautier wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Gautier at 58% vs Valentin at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Valentin has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GautierValentin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Gautier
Valentin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
81"+
Reach
77"
24+
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gautier
Valentin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
78.0
56.3
71.2
Performance Avg
48.4
52
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
65
Gautier
Valentin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
8.6
Style: Pressure
8.2
3.6
Style: Volume
0.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance2
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Gautier
Valentin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gautier
Valentin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Gautier
Valentin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Gautier
Valentin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gautier
Valentin
Striking10.0 / 0.8Volume3.6 / 0.8Grappling0.5 / 8.0Wrestling0.3 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure8.6 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Gautier
Strike Zones
Valentin
Gautier
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Valentin
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gautier targets the head (84% of attacks) — Valentin absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Valentin targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gautier absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gautier
RND
Valentin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gautier · Last 5

Upcoming
Roman Kopylov
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R2
Ozzy Diaz
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Andrey Pulyaev
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tre'ston Vines
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Robert Valentin
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

Valentin · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Dusko Todorovic
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Julien Leblanc
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Ateba Gautier
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Torrez Finney
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ryan Loder
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Ateba Gautier · Robert Valentin
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