METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
New Orleans, USA
19 Jul 2025
Middleweight
VS
58%
Gautier
42%
Valentin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:10
★ Official Result
Ateba GautierwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:10
def. Robert Valentin · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gautier
→
Actual result
Gautier wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Gautier at 58% vs Valentin at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Valentin has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GautierValentin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gautier
Valentin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
81"+
Reach
77"
24+
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gautier
Valentin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
78.0
56.3
71.2
Performance Avg
48.4
52
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
65
Gautier
Valentin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
8.6
Style: Pressure
8.2
3.6
Style: Volume
0.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance2
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Gautier
Valentin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gautier
Valentin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Gautier
Valentin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Gautier
Valentin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gautier
Valentin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
GautierValentin
Strike Zones
Gautier
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedValentin
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gautier targets the head (84% of attacks) — Valentin absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Valentin targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gautier absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gautier
RND
Valentin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gautier · Last 5
Upcoming
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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
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W · Sub · R1
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