UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
New Orleans, USA
19 Jul 2025
Middleweight
VS
62%
Gautier
38%
Valentin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:10
Ateba
Ateba Gautier
"The Storm"
11 – 1
6'4"81" reachSwitch24 yrs5-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 78
RV
Robert Valentin
"Robzilla"
12 – 6
Submission Hunter31 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gautier

Gautier holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Valentin has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Gautier throws more volume but Valentin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Valentin has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gautier
Valentin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
81"+
Reach
77"
24+
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gautier
Valentin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
78.0
47.3
71.2
Performance Avg
42.4
52
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
36
Gautier
Valentin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance2
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Gautier
Valentin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gautier
Valentin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Gautier
Valentin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Gautier
Valentin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gautier
Valentin
Striking10.0 / 0.5Volume3.6 / 0.5Grappling0.5 / 8.0Wrestling0.3 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure8.6 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Gautier
Strike Zones
Valentin
Gautier
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Valentin
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gautier targets the head (84% of attacks) — Valentin absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Valentin targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gautier absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gautier
RND
Valentin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gautier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.6W5.0W5.6W5.2W2025-032025-072025-102026-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Valentin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5L5.8L3.7L5.0W2024-082025-042025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Gautier · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Ozzy DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Andrey PulyaevRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tre'ston VinesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Robert ValentinRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

Valentin · Last 4

W · Sub · R1
Julien LeblancRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Ateba GautierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Torrez FinneyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ryan LoderRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Ateba Gautier · Robert Valentin
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