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UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Welterweight
VS
57%
Edwards
43%
Barberena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Leon
Leon Edwards
"Rocky"
22 – 6
6'2"74" reachSouthpaw34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Bryan
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
18 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'0"
CFR 43
β˜… Official Result
Leon EdwardswinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Bryan Barberena Β· UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
β†’
Actual result
Edwards wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Edwards at 57% vs Barberena at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Barberena throws more volume but Edwards connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barberena has a chin rating of 10 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsBarberena
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Edwards
Barberena
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
72"
34+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Edwards
Barberena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
43.3
51.1
Performance Avg
43.9
36
Quality of Victory
42
95
Momentum Score
76
Edwards
Barberena
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.7
2.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
0
Body
2
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance5
0Clinch9
0Ground0
Edwards
Barberena
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Barberena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Edwards
Barberena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
95
76
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R4
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Last 5
L Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R2
Edwards
Barberena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
56%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edwards
Barberena
Striking3.6 / 5.4Volume7.2 / 4.5Grappling2.3 / 2.0Wrestling1.6 / 1.4Submission0.7 / 1.1Pressure4.2 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Edwards
Strike Zones
Barberena
Edwards
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY5LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Barberena
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY5LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the legs (56% of attacks) β€” Barberena absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Barberena targets the head (79% of attacks) β€” Edwards absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Edwards
RND
Barberena
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Edwards Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.0W4.5W6.6L4.5W5.5W6.0W4.9W5.5W4.5W5.6W4.7W4.5W6.6W5.6W5.8W6.6L4.5L5.0L2014-112016-102019-032023-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Barberena Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W5.5L5.2W4.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L5.0W5.5L4.9L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.9W5.5W2.9L2.6L6.5L3.8L2014-122017-042020-092022-122024-03
WinLossTrend

Edwards Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev Β· 2025-11
L Β· Sub Β· R4
Sean BradyRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady Β· 2025-03
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Β· 2024-07
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington Β· 2023-12
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Β· 2023-03

Barberena Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura Β· 2024-03
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura Β· 2023-07
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 Β· 2023-03
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland Β· 2022-12
W Β· KO Β· R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier Β· 2022-07

News & Media

Leon Edwards Β· Bryan Barberena
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