Rayanne dos Santos vs Alice Ardelean

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber

Las Vegas, USA

31 May 2025

Women's Strawweight

13%

Santos

87%

Ardelean

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Rayanne dos Santos

14 – 9

5'2"62" reachOrthodox30 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 8

Alice Ardelean

12 – 7

Well-Rounded3-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'3"

CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ardelean

Ardelean is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ardelean has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.

Ardelean has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Santos

Ardelean

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'2"

Height

+5'3"

62"

Reach

62"

30+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Santos

Ardelean

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

7.5

50.0

0.0

Performance Avg

43.9

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Santos

Ardelean

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

1.8

2.7

37%

Strike Accuracy

48%

0.0

Striking Style Score (/10)

1.2

0 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

34Distance82

0Clinch1

0Ground0

Santos

Ardelean

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

—

Sub Attempts / fight

0.2

0.0

Grappling Style Score (/10)

4.3

0.0

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

3.0

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Santos

Ardelean

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

3/23 fights

Chin rating based on

5/19 fights

Santos

Ardelean

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Santos

Ardelean

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos

Ardelean

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.2

0.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.3

0.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

0.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.1

0.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.5

Santos

Strike Zones

Ardelean

Santos

Attacking

34 landed

Absorbing

83 absorbed

Ardelean

Attacking

83 landed

Absorbing

34 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Santos targets the head (88% of attacks) — Ardelean absorbs 88% of strikes there

🎯Ardelean targets the head (78% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos

RND

Ardelean

0/0R00/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2

WinLossTrend

Ardelean · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2

WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 3

L · Dec · R3

Alice ArdeleanRating 6.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Puja TomarRating 5.7

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

L · Dec · R3

Talita AlencarRating 6.7

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

Ardelean · Last 5

W · Sub · R2

Polyana VianaRating 5.5

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05

W · Dec · R3

Montserrat Conejo RuizRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Rayanne dos SantosRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Melissa MartinezRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Shauna BannonRating 6

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Rayanne dos Santos · Alice Ardelean

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