UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jul 2023
Women's Bantamweight
VS
44%
Holm
56%
Silva
Win Probability
Holly
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15 – 7
5'8"69" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Mayra
Mayra Bueno Silva
"Sheetara"
10 – 7
Submission Hunter5-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Holm at 44% vs Silva at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holm
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
66"
44
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Holm
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
47.2
46.5
Performance Avg
45.0
42
Quality of Victory
47
30
Momentum Score
26
Holm
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Holm
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holm
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Holm
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
26
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Dec · R5
Holm
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holm
Silva
Striking3.6 / 0.8Volume7.1 / 2.4Grappling1.8 / 6.9Wrestling1.3 / 4.8Submission0.0 / 8.0Pressure3.4 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
Holm
Strike Zones
Silva
Holm
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the body (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holm
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Holm · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.1W4.5W5.1W4.9L6.9L6.7L5.2W5.5L4.5W2.7L5.1W5.3W5.9L4.6W4.9L2015-022016-072018-062022-052024-04
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.2W6.1L5.0W7.1L4.5W6.0W5.2W6.1L6.1L6.4L6.4L6.8L2018-092021-102023-022025-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Holm · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michelle MontagueRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.1
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Holly Holm · Mayra Bueno Silva
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