UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
3 Feb 2024
Lightweight
VS
46%
Moicano
54%
Dober
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dober
This is a genuine toss-up — Moicano at 46% vs Dober at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moicano's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moicano
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moicano
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
59.9
51.7
Performance Avg
53.2
43
Quality of Victory
50
64
Momentum Score
100
Moicano
Dober
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance11
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Moicano
Dober
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moicano
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Moicano
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moicano
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
7
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moicano
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
MoicanoDober
Strike Zones
Moicano
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedDober
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moicano targets the head (93% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the head (64% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moicano
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
Moicano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dober · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Moicano · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02