METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
3 Feb 2024
Lightweight
VS
46%
Moicano
54%
Dober
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
5'11"72" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Drew
Drew Dober
29 – 15
Knockout Artist2-fight win streak37 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 60
β˜… Official Result
Renato MoicanowinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Drew Dober Β· UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
β†’
Actual result
Moicano wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Moicano at 46% vs Dober at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Moicano's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dober has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MoicanoDober
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Moicano
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Moicano
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
59.9
51.7
Performance Avg
53.2
43
Quality of Victory
50
64
Momentum Score
100
Moicano
Dober
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
7.3
3.8
Style: Volume
2.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance11
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Moicano
Dober
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
5.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
7
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moicano
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
21/28 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Moicano
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
64
100
Current form
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Upcoming
W Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· R2
Last 5
W Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Moicano
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
7
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moicano
Dober
Striking2.1 / 8.5Volume3.8 / 2.8Grappling5.0 / 1.0Wrestling3.5 / 0.7Submission5.4 / 0.7Pressure6.3 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Moicano
Strike Zones
Dober
Moicano
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Dober
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moicano targets the head (93% of attacks) β€” Dober absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the head (64% of attacks) β€” Moicano absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Moicano
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0

Moicano Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Brian Ortega
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 Β· 2026-09
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Chris Duncan
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan Β· 2026-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Beneil Dariush
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Β· 2025-06
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Islam Makhachev
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Β· 2025-01
W Β· R2
Benoit Saint Denis
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis Β· 2024-09

Dober Β· Last 5

W Β· KO Β· R2
Michael Johnson
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Β· 2026-03
W Β· KO Β· R3
Kyle Prepolec
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen Β· 2025-10
L Β· KO Β· R1
Manuel Torres
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg Β· 2025-03
L Β· R3
Jean Silva
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez Β· 2024-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Renato Moicano
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov Β· 2024-02

News & Media

Renato Moicano Β· Drew Dober
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