UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2020
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Smith
55%
Azure
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CS
Cole Smith
"The Cole Train"
7 – 2
5'11"67" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
HA
Hunter Azure
9 – 2
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Azure

This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 45% vs Azure at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Azure has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Smith
Azure
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Azure
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
13.2
28.3
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
27
Momentum Score
50
Smith
Azure
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.1
27%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
1
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance7
3Clinch0
2Ground3
Smith
Azure
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Azure
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/9 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Smith
Azure
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Azure
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Azure
Striking0.7 / 1.0Volume8.7 / 9.0Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Smith
Strike Zones
Azure
Smith
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Azure
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (78% of attacks) — Azure absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Azure targets the head (60% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Azure
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.5L2019-052019-092020-09
WinLossTrend

Azure · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.9W3.0L4.5W6.3L2019-092020-052020-092021-04
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Hunter AzureRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Mitch GagnonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05

Azure · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jack ShoreRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Cole SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
L · KO · R2
Brian KelleherRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

News & Media

Cole Smith · Hunter Azure
← Back to fights