UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Birmingham, United Kingdom
5 Nov 2011
Welterweight
VS
28%
Cope
72%
Mills
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mills
Mills is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mills has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Cope throws more volume but Mills connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cope's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cope
Mills
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cope
Mills
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.8
25.5
28.3
Performance Avg
62.7
25
Quality of Victory
60
27
Momentum Score
95
Cope
Mills
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
31%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance6
0Clinch2
0Ground3
Cope
Mills
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cope
Mills
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/26 fights
Cope
Mills
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
95
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Cope
Mills
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cope
Mills
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
CopeMills
Strike Zones
Cope
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMills
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cope targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Mills absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mills targets the head (82% of attacks) — Cope absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cope
RND
Mills
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Cope · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Mills · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Cope · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
L · KO · R1
Che MillsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Chuck O'NeilRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
Mills · Last 4
Upcoming
Matthew RiddleUFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Rory MacDonaldRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · KO · R1
Chris CopeRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11