METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Welterweight
VS
36%
Fialho
64%
Buckley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:15
★ Official Result
Joaquin BuckleywinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:15
def. Andre Fialho · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Buckley
→
Actual result
Buckley wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Buckley holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Fialho has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fialho has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Buckley throws more volume but Fialho connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fialho's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buckley has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FialhoBuckley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fialho
Buckley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
+76"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fialho
Buckley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.8
58.0
47.4
Performance Avg
50.6
60
Quality of Victory
41
20
Momentum Score
100
Fialho
Buckley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
41%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
3
Body
7
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Fialho
Buckley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fialho
Buckley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
28
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
17/29 fights
Fialho
Buckley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Fialho
Buckley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fialho
Buckley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
FialhoBuckley
Strike Zones
Fialho
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedBuckley
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fialho targets the head (71% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Buckley targets the body (44% of attacks) — Fialho absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fialho
RND
Buckley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fialho · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Buckley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Fialho · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Tim MeansRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · KO · R2
Joaquin BuckleyRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · KO · R2
Jake MatthewsRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · KO · R1
Cameron VanCampRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
Buckley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05