METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC 101: Declaration
Philadelphia, USA
8 Aug 2009
Lightweight
VS
56%
Penn
44%
Florian
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 3:54
★ Official Result
BJ PennwinsSubmissionR4 · 3:54
def. Kenny Florian · UFC 101: Declaration
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penn
→
Actual result
Penn wins
Submission · R4
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Penn at 56% vs Florian at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Penn has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Florian throws more volume but Penn connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Penn's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Florian has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PennFlorian
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penn
Florian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+74"
47+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Penn
Florian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
17.7
56.9
Performance Avg
55.4
63
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
28
Penn
Florian
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
15Ground2
Penn
Florian
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.8
4
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penn
Florian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
16 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/30 fights
Chin rating based on
17/20 fights
Penn
Florian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Penn
Florian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
7
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penn
Florian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.8
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
PennFlorian
Strike Zones
Penn
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedFlorian
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penn targets the head (71% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Florian targets the head (100% of attacks) — Penn absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penn
RND
Florian
0/0R00/0
Penn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Florian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Penn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Ryan HallRating 1.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · KO · R2
Yair RodriguezRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
Florian · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12