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UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Shanghai, China
29 Aug 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Xiaonan
55%
Gomes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:49
Yan
Yan Xiaonan
195
5'5"63" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Denise
Denise Gomes
"Dee"
123
Striker5-fight win streak26 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'2"
CFR 62
★ Official Result
Denise GomeswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:49
def. Yan Xiaonan · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gomes
Gomes by TKO in round three — Yan's output holds early, then the pressure and th
Actual result
Gomes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

A 37-year-old former title challenger sixteen months out of the cage against a 26-year-old on four straight wins who hits considerably harder.

Yan Xiaonan's momentum score reads 100.0, which is the single most misleading number on this card. She has lost her most recent recorded fight, a decision to Virna Jandiroba in April 2025, and has not fought since. What the 100.0 is registering is the calibre of the people she loses to — Jandiroba, and Zhang Weili over five rounds in a title fight in April 2024. She has not been losing to nobodies…

Xiaonan intel

Yan (19-5) has not competed since a decision loss to Virna Jandiroba in April 2025 — sixteen months out at 37. Her recorded five includes the five-round title loss to Zhang Weili in April 2024 and a first-round knockout of Jessica Andrade in May 2023. A 0.11 finish rate against an 8.5 volume score describes a fighter who wins on output or not at all.

Gomes intel

Gomes (12-3) has won four in a row, most recently a decision over Tecia Pennington in November 2025 and a second-round knockout of Elise Reed thirty seconds in. Her 96.0 chin rating and 0.5 finish rate are both the higher of the two, and at 26 she is eleven years younger. The two defeats on the recorded sheet are decisions — to Angela Hill in November 2023 and Loma Lookboonmee in September 2022.

Key angles

Sixteen months of inactivity for Yan since the Jandiroba decision in April 2025

A 6.5 striking score against 2.5, in a fight neither woman can take to the mat

Yan's 8.5 volume — the way she beat Dern and Ricci — against a 5.75 pressure rating coming at her

An eleven-year age gap and a 72.0 chin against a 96.0

Yan's 100.0 momentum score after a loss: opposition quality, not form

Risk flags

Yan's 8.5 volume can bank three rounds outright if Gomes fights conservatively and waits for one shot

Gomes has never been past three rounds in her eight recorded fights and has no grappling to fall back on if the striking stalls

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
XiaonanGomes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Xiaonan
Gomes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'2"
63"
Reach
63"
37
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Xiaonan
Gomes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
62.3
43.0
Performance Avg
57.3
29
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
74
Xiaonan
Gomes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
2.7
Style: Pressure
6.3
8.4
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
12
3
Body
3
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance16
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Xiaonan
Gomes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Xiaonan
Gomes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Xiaonan
Gomes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Xiaonan
Gomes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
57%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Xiaonan
Gomes
Striking2.4 / 7.3Volume8.4 / 5.0Grappling2.1 / 1.0Wrestling1.5 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.7 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Xiaonan
Strike Zones
Gomes
Xiaonan
Attacking
11HEAD3BODY5LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Gomes
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD3BODY5LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (58% of attacks) — Gomes absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Gomes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Xiaonan
RND
Gomes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Xiaonan · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Denise Gomes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna Jandiroba
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha Ricci
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang Weili
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica Andrade
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Gomes · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Yan Xiaonan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Tecia Pennington
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Elise Reed
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Eduarda Moura
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

News & Media

Yan Xiaonan · Denise Gomes
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