METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2007
Welterweight
VS
57%
Fickett
43%
Nakamura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Drew FickettwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Keita Nakamura · UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fickett
→
Actual result
Fickett wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fickett at 57% vs Nakamura at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Fickett's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FickettNakamura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fickett
Nakamura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fickett
Nakamura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
13.7
48.2
Performance Avg
36.2
42
Quality of Victory
36
52
Momentum Score
26
Fickett
Nakamura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
4.6
3.1
Style: Volume
4.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
5
11
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
1Clinch2
21Ground0
Fickett
Nakamura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
4.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
7.5
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fickett
Nakamura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/63 fights
Chin rating based on
11/44 fights
Fickett
Nakamura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
26
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fickett
Nakamura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fickett
Nakamura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
FickettNakamura
Strike Zones
Fickett
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedNakamura
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fickett targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nakamura targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fickett absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fickett
RND
Nakamura
0/0R00/0
Fickett · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R1
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W · Sub · R3
Josh KoscheckSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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