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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Ottawa, Canada
4 May 2019
Lightweight
VS
48%
Iaquinta
52%
Cerrone
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
AI
Al Iaquinta
"Raging"
14 – 7
5'10"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
Well-Rounded6-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 28
★ Official Result
Donald CerronewinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Al Iaquinta · UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerrone
→
Actual result
Cerrone wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Iaquinta at 48% vs Cerrone at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cerrone has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
IaquintaCerrone
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+73"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
28.2
47.0
Performance Avg
53.0
38
Quality of Victory
47
51
Momentum Score
63
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
2.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
32
4
Body
2
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
20Distance42
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
38/53 fights
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
70%
4
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Iaquinta
Cerrone
Striking5.6 / 5.6Volume5.6 / 3.7Grappling1.3 / 2.8Wrestling0.9 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 2.6Pressure4.9 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.6
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Iaquinta
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Iaquinta
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD2BODY9LEGS43 absorbed
Cerrone
Attacking
32HEAD2BODY9LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (65% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Cerrone targets the head (74% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Iaquinta
RND
Cerrone
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Iaquinta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.3L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L5.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L6.4L2.2L2012-062014-052015-042019-052021-11
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Iaquinta · Last 5

L · KO · R1
King GreenRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald CerroneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin LeeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

News & Media

Al Iaquinta · Donald Cerrone
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