METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Ottawa, Canada
4 May 2019
Lightweight
VS
48%
Iaquinta
52%
Cerrone
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
AI
Al Iaquinta
"Raging"
14 – 7
5'10"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
Well-Rounded6-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 28
★ Official Result
Donald CerronewinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Al Iaquinta · UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerrone
→
Actual result
Cerrone wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Iaquinta at 48% vs Cerrone at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cerrone has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
IaquintaCerrone
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+73"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
28.2
47.0
Performance Avg
53.0
38
Quality of Victory
47
51
Momentum Score
63
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
6.7
5.6
Style: Volume
3.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
10 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
32
4
Body
2
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
20Distance42
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.6
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
38/53 fights
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Iaquinta
Cerrone
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
70%
4
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Iaquinta
Cerrone
Striking5.6 / 5.6Volume5.6 / 3.7Grappling1.3 / 2.8Wrestling0.9 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 2.6Pressure4.9 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.6
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Iaquinta
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Iaquinta
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD2BODY9LEGS43 absorbed
Cerrone
Attacking
32HEAD2BODY9LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (65% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Cerrone targets the head (74% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Iaquinta
RND
Cerrone
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Iaquinta · Last 5

L · KO · R1
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan Hooker
Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald Cerrone
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin Lee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib Nurmagomedov
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim Miller
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex Morono
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Pettis
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregor
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

News & Media

Al Iaquinta · Donald Cerrone
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