METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Welterweight
VS
93%
Semelsberger
7%
Sano
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:15
★ Official Result
Matthew SemelsbergerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:15
def. Martin Sano · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Semelsberger
→
Actual result
Semelsberger wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Semelsberger is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Semelsberger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Risk flags
Semelsberger's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SemelsbergerSano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Semelsberger
Sano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
33+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Semelsberger
Sano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
3.4
41.6
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
84
Momentum Score
0
Semelsberger
Sano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.7
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Semelsberger
Sano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Semelsberger
Sano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Semelsberger
Sano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Semelsberger
Sano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Semelsberger
Sano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SemelsbergerSano
Strike Zones
Semelsberger
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSano
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Semelsberger targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sano absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Sano targets the head (100% of attacks) — Semelsberger absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Semelsberger
RND
Sano
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Semelsberger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Charles RadtkeKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Sano · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09