METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
New Orleans, USA
19 Jul 2025
Middleweight
VS
50%
Ferreira
50%
McVey
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:35
★ Official Result
Brunno FerreirawinsSubmissionR1 · 3:35
def. Jackson McVey · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ferreira
→
Actual result
Ferreira wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ferreira at 50% vs McVey at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Ferreira's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FerreiraMcVey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ferreira
McVey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'4"
72"
Reach
+77"
33
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ferreira
McVey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.7
61.6
54.8
Performance Avg
54.2
51
Quality of Victory
57
91
Momentum Score
65
Ferreira
McVey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
8.5
2.5
Style: Volume
1.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
1
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ferreira
McVey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferreira
McVey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Ferreira
McVey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Ferreira
McVey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ferreira
McVey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
FerreiraMcVey
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMcVey
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (57% of attacks) — McVey absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯McVey targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ferreira
RND
McVey
0/0R00/0
Ferreira · Last 5
Upcoming
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