UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie
Houston, USA
4 Feb 2017
Heavyweight
VS
26%
Milstead
74%
Blaydes
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blaydes
Blaydes is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Milstead has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Milstead throws more volume but Blaydes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Blaydes has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Milstead
Blaydes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+80"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Milstead
Blaydes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
53.9
46.3
Performance Avg
53.4
55
Quality of Victory
42
52
Momentum Score
81
Milstead
Blaydes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground6
Milstead
Blaydes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Milstead
Blaydes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
8
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
21/25 fights
Milstead
Blaydes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Milstead
Blaydes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Milstead
Blaydes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MilsteadBlaydes
Strike Zones
Milstead
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedBlaydes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Milstead absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Milstead
RND
Blaydes
0/0R00/0
Milstead · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Blaydes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Milstead · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Mike RodriguezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jordan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Upcoming
Curtis BlaydesUFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · KO · R2
Chris de la RochaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
Blaydes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04