UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa
London, United Kingdom
8 Mar 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
62%
Gustafsson
38%
Manuwa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:18
AG
Alexander Gustafsson
"The Mauler"
18 – 8
6'5"79" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
JM
Jimi Manuwa
"Poster Boy"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'1"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gustafsson

Gustafsson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Manuwa has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Manuwa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gustafsson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Manuwa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gustafsson
Manuwa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
79"
Reach
79"
39+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gustafsson
Manuwa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.8
15.1
50.3
Performance Avg
45.2
47
Quality of Victory
42
39
Momentum Score
53
Gustafsson
Manuwa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance6
4Clinch0
2Ground0
Gustafsson
Manuwa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.3
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gustafsson
Manuwa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Gustafsson
Manuwa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
53
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Gustafsson
Manuwa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gustafsson
Manuwa
Striking6.1 / 6.0Volume3.5 / 2.3Grappling2.3 / 0.4Wrestling1.6 / 0.3Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Gustafsson
Strike Zones
Manuwa
Gustafsson
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY4LEGS6 absorbed
Manuwa
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY4LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Manuwa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Manuwa targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gustafsson
RND
Manuwa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gustafsson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W1.5L5.2W5.0W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W7.3L5.1W1.5L5.5L5.1W5.9W4.5L4.5L1.5L2.7L2009-112011-122015-012019-062022-07
WinLossTrend

Manuwa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W4.0W5.2W2.1L5.1W2.8L5.8W5.0W2.3L6.1L2.8L1.6L2012-092014-032016-102018-032019-06
WinLossTrend

Gustafsson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05

Manuwa · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago SantosRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Corey AndersonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03

News & Media

Alexander Gustafsson · Jimi Manuwa
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