METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
53%
McCann
47%
Stoliarenko
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:55
★ Official Result
Julija StoliarenkowinsSubmissionR1 · 1:55
def. Molly McCann · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McCann
→
Actual result
Stoliarenko wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McCann at 53% vs Stoliarenko at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Stoliarenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
McCann's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoliarenko has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McCannStoliarenko
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McCann
Stoliarenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
62"
Reach
+66"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCann
Stoliarenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
41.9
42.6
Performance Avg
41.3
38
Quality of Victory
54
71
Momentum Score
20
McCann
Stoliarenko
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
7.7
5.6
Style: Volume
0.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
4
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McCann
Stoliarenko
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McCann
Stoliarenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
36
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
McCann
Stoliarenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
McCann
Stoliarenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McCann
Stoliarenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
McCannStoliarenko
Strike Zones
McCann
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedStoliarenko
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McCann targets the body (67% of attacks) — Stoliarenko absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Stoliarenko targets the head (44% of attacks) — McCann absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McCann
RND
Stoliarenko
0/0R00/0
McCann · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexia ThainaraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Erin BlanchfieldSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Stoliarenko · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Luana CarolinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Chelsea ChandlerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica-Rose ClarkSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07