UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
53%
McCann
47%
Stoliarenko
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McCann
This is a genuine toss-up — McCann at 53% vs Stoliarenko at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Stoliarenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
McCann has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McCann's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoliarenko has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McCann
Stoliarenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
62"
Reach
+66"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCann
Stoliarenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
41.9
42.6
Performance Avg
41.3
38
Quality of Victory
54
71
Momentum Score
20
McCann
Stoliarenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
39%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
4
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McCann
Stoliarenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McCann
Stoliarenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
36
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
McCann
Stoliarenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
McCann
Stoliarenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McCann
Stoliarenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
McCannStoliarenko
Strike Zones
McCann
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedStoliarenko
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McCann targets the body (67% of attacks) — Stoliarenko absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Stoliarenko targets the head (44% of attacks) — McCann absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McCann
RND
Stoliarenko
0/0R00/0
McCann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Stoliarenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
McCann · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexia ThainaraRating 3.1Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Erin BlanchfieldRating 3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Stoliarenko · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Chelsea ChandlerRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5Submission
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