Natalia Silva vs Victoria Leonardo — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill

Las Vegas, USA

20 May 2023

Women's Flyweight

76%

Silva

24%

Leonardo

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 2:58

Natalia Silva

20 – 5

5'4"65" reachSouthpaw29 yrs8-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 66

Victoria Leonardo

"Fury"

9 – 7

Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"

CFR 21

★ Official Result

Natalia SilvawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:58

def. Victoria Leonardo · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Silva

→

Actual result

Silva wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Silva is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Leonardo has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SilvaLeonardo

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Silva

Leonardo

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'4"

Height

+5'5"

65"+

Reach

64"

29+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Silva

Leonardo

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

65.7

21.3

59.5

Performance Avg

23.0

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Silva

Leonardo

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.0

1.6

48%

Strike Accuracy

35%

4.5

Striking Style Score (/10)

0.4

2 KOs

KO Finishes

0 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

20Distance7

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Silva

Leonardo

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.8

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

1.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Silva

Leonardo

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

8/25 fights

Chin rating based on

5/16 fights

Silva

Leonardo

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

8-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · R2

L · KO · R2

Silva

Leonardo

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

25%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva

Leonardo

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.4

1.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

1.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

4.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.6

8.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.4

Silva

Strike Zones

Leonardo

Silva

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Leonardo

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Silva targets the head (80% of attacks) — Leonardo absorbs 80% of strikes there

🎯Leonardo targets the head (86% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva

RND

Leonardo

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4

WinLossTrend

Leonardo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1

WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Rose NamajunasRating 5.9

Decision

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · Dec · R3

Alexa GrassoRating 5.7

Decision

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

W · Dec · R3

Jessica AndradeRating 5.3

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09

W · Dec · R3

Viviane AraujoRating 5.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02

W · Dec · R3

Andrea LeeRating 4.9

Decision

UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Leonardo · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Wang CongRating 2.8

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

L · KO · R1

Natalia SilvaRating 3

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

W · Dec · R3

Mandy BohmRating 4.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

L · R2

Melissa GattoRating 5.7

UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08

L · KO · R2

Manon FiorotRating 4.4

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

News & Media

Natalia Silva · Victoria Leonardo

← Back to fights