METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
76%
Silva
24%
Leonardo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:58
★ Official Result
Natalia SilvawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:58
def. Victoria Leonardo · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Silva is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Leonardo has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SilvaLeonardo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Silva
Leonardo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"+
Reach
64"
29+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Leonardo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.9
21.3
59.7
Performance Avg
23.0
33
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
30
Silva
Leonardo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
0.6
8.0
Style: Volume
8.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
6
2
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Leonardo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Leonardo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
32
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Silva
Leonardo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
8-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R2
Silva
Leonardo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Leonardo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
SilvaLeonardo
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedLeonardo
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (80% of attacks) — Leonardo absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Leonardo targets the head (86% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Leonardo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · Last 5
Upcoming
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Leonardo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Wang CongKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Natalia SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Mandy BohmDecision
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