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UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Las Vegas, USA
1 Nov 2025
Featherweight
VS
57%
Garcia
43%
Onama
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:34
Steve
Steve Garcia
"Mean Machine"
195
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw34 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 69
David
David Onama
143
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 51
★ Official Result
Steve GarciawinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:34
def. David Onama · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garcia
Actual result
Garcia wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Garcia at 57% vs Onama at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Risk flags

Garcia's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GarciaOnama
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Garcia
Onama
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
34
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Onama
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.1
51.1
62.1
Performance Avg
50.6
55
Quality of Victory
40
95
Momentum Score
50
Garcia
Onama
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
5.5
2.5
Style: Volume
5.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
1
5
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance2
5Clinch0
2Ground0
Garcia
Onama
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garcia
Onama
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
11/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Garcia
Onama
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
50
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Garcia
Onama
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garcia
Onama
Striking10.0 / 4.7Volume2.5 / 5.3Grappling0.3 / 2.5Wrestling0.2 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure8.3 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Garcia
Strike Zones
Onama
Garcia
Attacking
28HEAD5BODY0LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Onama
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD5BODY0LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (85% of attacks) — Onama absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Onama targets the head (50% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garcia
RND
Onama
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Garcia · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Diego Lopes
KO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
David Onama
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Calvin Kattar
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle Nelson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo Choi
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

Onama · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Steve Garcia
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Giga Chikadze
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Roberto Romero
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan Pearce
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Gabriel Santos
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

News & Media

Steve Garcia · David Onama
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