UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Las Vegas, USA
1 Nov 2025
Featherweight
VS
59%
Garcia
41%
Onama
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garcia
This is a genuine toss-up — Garcia at 59% vs Onama at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Garcia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Garcia
Onama
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
34
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Onama
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.5
51.1
65.0
Performance Avg
50.6
55
Quality of Victory
40
95
Momentum Score
50
Garcia
Onama
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
1
5
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance2
5Clinch0
2Ground0
Garcia
Onama
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garcia
Onama
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Garcia
Onama
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
50
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Garcia
Onama
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garcia
Onama
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
GarciaOnama
Strike Zones
Garcia
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedOnama
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (85% of attacks) — Onama absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Onama targets the head (50% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garcia
RND
Onama
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Onama · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Garcia · Last 5
Upcoming
Diego LopesUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
David OnamaRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
Onama · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Roberto RomeroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Gabriel SantosRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

