UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Middleweight
VS
57%
Allen
43%
Holland
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Allen
This is a genuine toss-up — Allen at 57% vs Holland at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Allen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Allen's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holland has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Allen
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+81"
30+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.8
47.0
56.8
Performance Avg
49.3
43
Quality of Victory
44
88
Momentum Score
51
Allen
Holland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Allen
Holland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Allen
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Allen
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
51
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Allen
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
69%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
7
Submission Wins
6
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Allen
Holland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
AllenHolland
Strike Zones
Allen
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedHolland
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (75% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Holland targets the head (88% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Allen
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0
Allen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Holland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Allen · Last 5
Upcoming
Edmen ShahbazyanUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de RidderRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03