UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Las Vegas, USA
4 Apr 2026
Women's Bantamweight
VS
92%
Pereira
8%
Cowan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:24
Alice
Alice Pereira
"Golden Girl"
7 – 1
5'8"71" reachOrthodox20 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 61
Hailey
Hailey Cowan
"All Hail"
7 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'8"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pereira

Pereira is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 56 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.

Cowan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cowan has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pereira
Cowan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
67"
20+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pereira
Cowan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.3
5.1
53.0
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Pereira
Cowan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
1
Body
3
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
6Distance12
0Clinch0
2Ground1
Pereira
Cowan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Pereira
Cowan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Pereira
Cowan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Pereira
Cowan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pereira
Cowan
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume1.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Pereira
Strike Zones
Cowan
Pereira
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY4LEGS13 absorbed
Cowan
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY4LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (88% of attacks) — Cowan absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Cowan targets the head (46% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pereira
RND
Cowan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pereira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.6L5.2W2025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Cowan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0106.2L3.4L4.1L2023-042025-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Pereira · Last 2

W · KO · R2
Hailey CowanRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Montse RendonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

Cowan · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Alice PereiraRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Nora CornolleRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04

News & Media

Alice Pereira · Hailey Cowan
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