METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Las Vegas, USA
4 Apr 2026
Women's Bantamweight
VS
95%
Pereira
5%
Cowan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:24
★ Official Result
Alice PereirawinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:24
def. Hailey Cowan · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pereira
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Pereira is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Risk flags
Cowan has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraCowan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pereira
Cowan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
67"
20+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pereira
Cowan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.3
3.4
53.0
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Pereira
Cowan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
1.0
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
1
Body
3
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
6Distance12
0Clinch0
2Ground1
Pereira
Cowan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Pereira
Cowan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
42
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Pereira
Cowan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Pereira
Cowan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Cowan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PereiraCowan
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedCowan
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (88% of attacks) — Cowan absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Cowan targets the head (46% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Cowan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pereira · Last 2
W · KO · R2
Hailey CowanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Montse RendonDecision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
Cowan · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Nina MilosevicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Alice PereiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Nora CornolleSubmission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04