UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Las Vegas, USA
15 Mar 2025
Heavyweight
VS
60%
Acosta
40%
Spann
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:48
Waldo
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
17 – 3
6'4"78" reachOrthodox34 yrsStriker
CFR 66
Ryan
Ryan Spann
"Superman"
24 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Acosta

Acosta holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Spann has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Acosta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Spann has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Acosta
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
78"
Reach
+79"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Acosta
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.8
43.3
55.7
Performance Avg
54.8
42
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
10
Acosta
Spann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
6
3
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
34Distance11
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Acosta
Spann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Acosta
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
8
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
16/35 fights
Acosta
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
10
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Acosta
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Acosta
Spann
Striking6.5 / 5.3Volume5.5 / 2.9Grappling1.2 / 3.7Wrestling0.8 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure5.8 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Acosta
Strike Zones
Spann
Acosta
Attacking
35HEAD3BODY1LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Spann
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD3BODY1LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Acosta targets the head (90% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (55% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Acosta
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Acosta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W6.1L5.0W5.2W5.3W5.7W5.0W6.7L6.0W5.7W6.5W6.8L2022-102024-012025-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Spann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W2.3L5.0W2.7L5.3W6.0W2.7L6.7L4.8L5.6W4.3L5.0W5.2W2018-092020-092022-112024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Acosta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

Spann · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

News & Media

Waldo Cortes Acosta · Ryan Spann
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