METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Las Vegas, USA
15 Mar 2025
Heavyweight
VS
61%
Acosta
39%
Spann
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:48
★ Official Result
Waldo Cortes AcostawinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:48
def. Ryan Spann · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Acosta
→
Actual result
Acosta wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Acosta holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Spann has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Spann has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AcostaSpann
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Acosta
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
78"
Reach
+79"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Acosta
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.8
41.9
55.7
Performance Avg
53.3
42
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
10
Acosta
Spann
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
7.4
5.5
Style: Volume
2.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
6
3
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
34Distance11
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Acosta
Spann
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Acosta
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
17/35 fights
Acosta
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
10
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Acosta
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Acosta
Spann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
AcostaSpann
Strike Zones
Acosta
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSpann
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Acosta targets the head (90% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (55% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Acosta
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Acosta · Last 5
Upcoming
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