UFC 80: Rapid Fire
Newcastle, United Kingdom
19 Jan 2008
Middleweight
VS
44%
Rivera
56%
Grove
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grove
This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 44% vs Grove at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rivera's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grove has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rivera
Grove
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'6"
73"
Reach
+79"
54
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Grove
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
18.0
48.0
Performance Avg
53.6
44
Quality of Victory
53
30
Momentum Score
52
Rivera
Grove
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
43%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance0
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Rivera
Grove
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rivera
Grove
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
13/40 fights
Rivera
Grove
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Rivera
Grove
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
57%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rivera
Grove
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
RiveraGrove
Strike Zones
Rivera
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGrove
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (96% of attacks) — Grove absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rivera
RND
Grove
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Grove · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Rivera · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Eric SchaferRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
Nate QuarryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
Grove · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R1
Jake RosholtRating 5Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11