UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
Fortaleza, Brazil
11 Mar 2017
Flyweight
VS
45%
Formiga
55%
Borg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JF
Jussier Formiga
23 – 8
5'5"67" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
RB
Ray Borg
"The Tazmexican Devil"
13 – 5
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'4"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Borg

This is a genuine toss-up — Formiga at 45% vs Borg at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Formiga throws more volume but Borg connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Formiga's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Formiga
Borg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
63"
41
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Formiga
Borg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
18.5
42.7
Performance Avg
42.5
34
Quality of Victory
32
64
Momentum Score
89
Formiga
Borg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
15
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Formiga
Borg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Formiga
Borg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/31 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Formiga
Borg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
89
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Formiga
Borg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Formiga
Borg
Striking1.1 / 1.2Volume6.5 / 6.9Grappling4.3 / 4.0Wrestling3.0 / 2.8Submission3.3 / 2.9Pressure4.0 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Formiga
Strike Zones
Borg
Formiga
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Borg
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Borg targets the head (100% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Formiga
RND
Borg
0/0R00/0

Formiga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W7.0L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.6W2.8L6.4L2.8L2012-102014-082017-032019-032020-06
WinLossTrend

Borg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W4.5W6.2L2014-042015-082017-032019-072020-05
WinLossTrend

Formiga · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

Borg · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 4
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10

News & Media

Jussier Formiga · Ray Borg
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