UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
75%
Craig
25%
Antigulov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:06
Paul
Paul Craig
"Bearjew"
17 – 10
6'3"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 49
GA
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
20 – 8
Submission Hunter4-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Craig

Craig is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Antigulov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Craig's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Antigulov has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Craig
Antigulov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
70"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Craig
Antigulov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
16.0
50.4
Performance Avg
45.7
52
Quality of Victory
54
46
Momentum Score
33
Craig
Antigulov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Craig
Antigulov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Craig
Antigulov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
22
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Craig
Antigulov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
33
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Craig
Antigulov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Craig
Antigulov
Striking4.3 / 0.7Volume0.9 / 0.7Grappling5.3 / 8.0Wrestling3.7 / 5.6Submission6.7 / 10.0Pressure8.4 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Craig
Strike Zones
Antigulov
Craig
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Antigulov
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Craig targets the head (100% of attacks) — Antigulov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Antigulov targets the head (82% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Craig
RND
Antigulov
0/0R00/0

Craig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.2W2.5L2.4L7.0W5.5L6.8W2.4L5.0W5.0W5.2W6.3W6.2W6.3L2.3L6.2W4.1L4.1L7.2L2.3L2016-122019-032021-062023-112025-09
WinLossTrend

Antigulov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.6W5.0W1.8L2.5L2.2L2.8L2016-112017-052018-072019-042020-072020-10
WinLossTrend

Craig · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
Upcoming
Rodolfo Bellato
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Bo NickalRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Caio BorralhoRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Sub · R3
Brendan AllenRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11

Antigulov · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Maxim GrishinRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul CraigRating 2.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Joachim ChristensenRating 5
Submission
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05

News & Media

Paul Craig · Gadzhimurad Antigulov
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