UFC 17: Redemption
Mobile, USA
15 May 1998
Heavyweight
VS
88%
Arsdale
12%
Pardo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 11:01
Mv
Mike van Arsdale
8 – 5
6'2"Switch60 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JP
Joe Pardo
4 – 6
Well-RoundedNaNSouthpaw6'1"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arsdale

Arsdale is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Arsdale has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Striking split: Pardo throws more volume but Arsdale connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Arsdale
Pardo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
60
Age
—
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Arsdale
Pardo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
2.5
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
71
Momentum Score
0
Arsdale
Pardo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
2
8
Body
2
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance3
1Clinch1
17Ground0
Arsdale
Pardo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arsdale
Pardo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Arsdale
Pardo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Arsdale
Pardo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arsdale
Pardo
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume5.0 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Arsdale
Strike Zones
Pardo
Arsdale
Attacking
15HEAD8BODY4LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Pardo
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD8BODY4LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arsdale targets the head (56% of attacks) — Pardo absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Pardo targets the head (50% of attacks) — Arsdale absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arsdale
RND
Pardo
0/0R00/0

Arsdale · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W4.5W4.0L1.5L1998-052005-042005-082006-02
WinLossTrend

Arsdale · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Renato SobralRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · Sub · R3
Randy CoutureRating 4
Submission
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
John MarshRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
W · Sub · R1
Joe PardoRating 5
Submission
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05

Pardo · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05

News & Media

Mike van Arsdale · Joe Pardo
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