UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
26 Sept 2015
Welterweight
VS
83%
Anzai
17%
Zapata
Win Probability
SA
Shinsho Anzai
"Animal"
10 – 3
5'7"70" reachOrthodox40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
RZ
Roger Zapata
"Viva"
4 – 2
Well-Rounded40 yrsSouthpaw5'11"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anzai

Anzai is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Anzai has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Anzai has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anzai's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anzai
Zapata
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Anzai
Zapata
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
2.7
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Anzai
Zapata
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.2
63%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Anzai
Zapata
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anzai
Zapata
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
1/6 fights
Anzai
Zapata
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · R3
Anzai
Zapata
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anzai
Zapata
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume5.0 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Anzai
Strike Zones
Zapata
Anzai
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Zapata
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anzai targets the head (60% of attacks) — Zapata absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Zapata targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anzai absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anzai
RND
Zapata
0/0R00/0

Anzai · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0101.5L4.5W4.5W2.5L2014-082015-092017-092018-06
WinLossTrend

Anzai · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Jake MatthewsRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
W · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · R3
Roger ZapataRating 4.5
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Alberto MinaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08

Zapata · Last 1

L · R3
Shinsho AnzaiRating 5.5
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

News & Media

Shinsho Anzai · Roger Zapata
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