METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
26 Sept 2015
Welterweight
VS
83%
Anzai
17%
Zapata
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Shinsho AnzaiwinsR3 · 0:47
def. Roger Zapata · UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Anzai
→
Actual result
Anzai wins
Pre-fight analysis
Anzai is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anzai has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Anzai has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anzai's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnzaiZapata
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Anzai
Zapata
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Anzai
Zapata
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
2.7
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Anzai
Zapata
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
0.2
63%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Anzai
Zapata
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anzai
Zapata
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
1/6 fights
Anzai
Zapata
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · R3
Anzai
Zapata
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anzai
Zapata
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AnzaiZapata
Strike Zones
Anzai
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedZapata
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anzai targets the head (60% of attacks) — Zapata absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Zapata targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anzai absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anzai
RND
Zapata
0/0R00/0
Anzai · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Anzai · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Jake MatthewsRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
W · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · R3
Roger ZapataRating 4.5UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Alberto MinaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
Zapata · Last 1
L · R3
Shinsho AnzaiRating 5.5UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09