METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
26 Sept 2015
Welterweight
VS
83%
Anzai
17%
Zapata
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Shinsho AnzaiwinsR3 · 0:47
def. Roger Zapata · UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Anzai
→
Actual result
Anzai wins
Pre-fight analysis
Anzai is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anzai has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Anzai's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnzaiZapata
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Anzai
Zapata
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Anzai
Zapata
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
2.7
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Anzai
Zapata
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.0
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Anzai
Zapata
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anzai
Zapata
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
1/6 fights
Anzai
Zapata
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · R3
Anzai
Zapata
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anzai
Zapata
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AnzaiZapata
Strike Zones
Anzai
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedZapata
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anzai targets the head (60% of attacks) — Zapata absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Zapata targets the head (100% of attacks) — Anzai absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anzai
RND
Zapata
0/0R00/0
Anzai · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
W · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauDecision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · R3
Roger ZapataUFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Alberto MinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
Zapata · Last 1
L · R3
Shinsho AnzaiUFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09